Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-05
RB Leipzig – Mainz
Home
62%
1.6 fair
Draw
19%
5.24 fair
Away
18%
5.41 fair
Expected Goals3.37
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
55.3%
→
62.4%
+7.2 pp
Draw
22.9%
→
19.1%
-3.8 pp
Away
21.8%
→
18.5%
-3.3 pp
Over 2.5
58.0%
→
65.6%
+7.7 pp
Both teams to score
57.5%
→
60.1%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.02 →
3.37
+0.35
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 19.1% | 5.24 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 80.9% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.7% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.94 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 68.5% | 1.46 | — |
Both halves
| 24.5% | 4.09 | — |
HT/FT
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.53 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.73 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.88 | — | |||
| 6.5% | 15.38 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.97 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.72 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.77 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.17 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — |
Total goals
| 96.7% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 65.6% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 14.8% | 6.74 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.2% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Both to score
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — |
Corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — |
Home corners
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — |
Away corners
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.43 | — |
Cards
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.41 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.6 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 58.6% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds