Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-29
Freiburg – RB Leipzig
Home
34%
2.95 fair
Draw
23%
4.28 fair
Away
43%
2.34 fair
Expected Goals3.26
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.563%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.9%
→
33.9%
-1.0 pp
Draw
23.4%
→
23.3%
-0.1 pp
Away
41.6%
→
42.7%
+1.1 pp
Over 2.5
60.5%
→
63.1%
+2.7 pp
Both teams to score
61.9%
→
64.5%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.11 →
3.26
+0.15
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.5% | 4.25 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 8.2% | 12.27 | — |
HT/FT
| 17.0% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.15 | — | |||
| 13.2% | 7.57 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.16 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.73 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.53 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.75 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.63 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 45.4% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Total goals
| 96.0% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 5.98 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
1st-half goals
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — |
Away team goals
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — |
Both to score
| 64.5% | 1.55 | — |
Corners
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
Home corners
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — |
Away corners
| 54.5% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
Cards
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds