Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-28
Mainz – Union Berlin
Home
56%
1.8 fair
Draw
24%
4.23 fair
Away
21%
4.8 fair
Expected Goals2.71
Most Likely Score1-0
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.551%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.8%
→
55.5%
-1.3 pp
Draw
23.0%
→
23.7%
+0.7 pp
Away
20.2%
→
20.8%
+0.6 pp
Over 2.5
52.9%
→
50.8%
-2.1 pp
Both teams to score
52.6%
→
51.1%
-1.5 pp
Expected Goals
2.8 →
2.71
-0.09
Most Likely Score
1-0
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.28 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — |
Both halves
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — |
HT/FT
| 39.0% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.54 | — | |||
| 14.7% | 6.8 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.98 | — | |||
| 8.7% | 11.53 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.4 | — | |||
| 10.5% | 9.54 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 30.4% | 3.29 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 53.0% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 21.5% | 4.65 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 35.6% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.41 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
Away team goals
| 61.9% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — |
Both to score
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Corners
| 68.2% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — |
Away corners
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.76 | — |
Cards
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds