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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-28

FC Koln – Elversberg

Home 35% 2.86 fair
Draw 20% 4.93 fair
Away 45% 2.23 fair
Expected Goals3.86
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score73%
Over 2.574%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

14 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 20.7% → 35.0% +14.3 pp
Draw 18.8% → 20.3% +1.5 pp
Away 60.5% → 44.8% -15.8 pp
Over 2.5 74.5% → 73.9% -0.6 pp
Both teams to score 69.7% → 72.5% +2.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.9 → 3.86 -0.04
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 11.31 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.48 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

35.0% 2.86 —
20.3% 4.93 —
44.8% 2.23 —
55.2% 1.81 —
65.0% 1.54 —
79.7% 1.25 —

Half-time result

9.9% 10.11 —
35.1% 2.85 —
55.0% 1.82 —

Half-time double chance

45.0% 2.22 —
90.1% 1.11 —
64.9% 1.54 —

Both halves

4.9% 20.41 —

HT/FT

7.7% 13.0 —
17.5% 5.71 —
8.7% 11.52 —
8.9% 11.27 —
9.7% 10.27 —
10.3% 9.74 —
35.0% 2.85 —

HT/FT double chance

35.2% 2.84 —
35.0% 2.86 —
19.8% 5.06 —
29.0% 3.45 —
53.3% 1.88 —
47.5% 2.11 —
46.2% 2.16 —
71.2% 1.41 —
62.8% 1.59 —

Total goals

89.6% 1.12 —
73.9% 1.35 —
53.7% 1.86 —
10.4% 9.58 —
26.1% 3.84 —
46.3% 2.16 —

1st-half goals

73.5% 1.36 —
38.9% 2.57 —

Home team goals

83.9% 1.19 —
53.8% 1.86 —

Away team goals

86.7% 1.15 —
60.7% 1.65 —

Both to score

72.5% 1.38 —

Corners

83.0% 1.21 —
74.9% 1.34 —
65.5% 1.53 —
55.1% 1.82 —
44.7% 2.24 —
25.1% 3.98 —
34.5% 2.89 —
44.9% 2.23 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Home corners

85.1% 1.18 —
74.3% 1.35 —
61.8% 1.62 —

Away corners

64.1% 1.56 —
46.8% 2.14 —
31.9% 3.13 —

Cards

77.0% 1.3 —
60.9% 1.64 —
44.6% 2.24 —
30.7% 3.25 —
39.1% 2.56 —
55.4% 1.81 —
69.3% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds