Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-21
Union Berlin – RB Leipzig
Home
22%
4.53 fair
Draw
22%
4.57 fair
Away
56%
1.78 fair
Expected Goals2.97
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
23.4%
→
22.1%
-1.3 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
21.9%
-0.5 pp
Away
54.2%
→
56.0%
+1.9 pp
Over 2.5
57.9%
→
57.1%
-0.8 pp
Both teams to score
57.6%
→
55.7%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
2.99 →
2.97
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 14.8% | 6.77 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 48.2% | 2.08 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 4.0% | 25.25 | — |
HT/FT
| 9.9% | 10.13 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.45 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.27 | — | |||
| 12.4% | 8.05 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.92 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.1 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.59 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
Total goals
| 95.0% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — |
Home team goals
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Both to score
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — |
Corners
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — |
Home corners
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 31.8% | 3.15 | — |
Cards
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds