Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-21
Elversberg – Freiburg
Home
50%
2.01 fair
Draw
20%
5.0 fair
Away
30%
3.3 fair
Expected Goals3.94
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score73%
Over 2.575%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
63.0%
→
49.7%
-13.3 pp
Draw
18.1%
→
20.0%
+1.9 pp
Away
18.8%
→
30.3%
+11.5 pp
Over 2.5
75.2%
→
75.3%
+0.2 pp
Both teams to score
68.6%
→
72.8%
+4.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.95 →
3.94
-0.01
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 20.0% | 5.0 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 80.0% | 1.25 | — |
Half-time result
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.99 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 88.9% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.46 | — | |||
| 8.0% | 12.52 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.07 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.61 | — | |||
| 14.2% | 7.06 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 27.5% | 3.64 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Total goals
| 90.0% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 9.9% | 10.06 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.06 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
1st-half goals
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.1% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.95 | — |
Both to score
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Corners
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away corners
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 46.9% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Cards
| 70.7% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds