Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-08 16:30
Freiburg – Union Berlin
Home
57%
1.77 fair
Draw
23%
4.44 fair
Away
21%
4.78 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-0
Freiburg – Union Berlin
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Freiburg – Union Berlin
Expected Goals2.82
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.554%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.5%
→
56.5%
+0.0 pp
Draw
22.6%
→
22.5%
-0.1 pp
Away
20.9%
→
20.9%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
57.1%
→
53.9%
-3.1 pp
Both teams to score
55.7%
→
52.7%
-3.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.98 →
2.82
-0.16
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-0
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.5% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 19.1% | 5.23 | — |
HT/FT
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.28 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 9.3% | 10.8 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.49 | — | |||
| 9.7% | 10.27 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 65.5% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 50.6% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 36.0% | 2.77 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.37 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
1st-half goals
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.3% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — |
Away team goals
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.75 | — |
Both to score
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.9 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 83.1% | 1.2 | — |
Home corners
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Away corners
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.68 | — |
Cards
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.78 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds