Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-07 14:30
Dortmund – Elversberg
Home
69%
1.45 fair
Draw
16%
6.2 fair
Away
15%
6.61 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Dortmund – Elversberg
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Dortmund – Elversberg
Expected Goals4.15
Both teams to score69%
Over 2.578%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
53.4%
→
68.7%
+15.3 pp
Draw
20.1%
→
16.1%
-4.0 pp
Away
26.4%
→
15.1%
-11.3 pp
Over 2.5
72.0%
→
78.1%
+6.2 pp
Both teams to score
69.7%
→
68.9%
-0.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.74 →
4.15
+0.41
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 68.7% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 16.1% | 6.2 | — | |||
| 15.1% | 6.61 | — | |||
| 84.9% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 31.3% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 83.9% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 32.3% | 3.1 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.64 | — |
Both halves
| 21.4% | 4.68 | — |
HT/FT
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.51 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.41 | — | |||
| 3.7% | 26.74 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.89 | — | |||
| 11.0% | 9.08 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.01 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 20.6% | 4.86 | — | |||
| 56.7% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Total goals
| 91.8% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 8.2% | 12.21 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.63 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.2% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — |
Away team goals
| 73.2% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Both to score
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
Corners
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 30.5% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — |
Home corners
| 87.4% | 1.14 | — | |||
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — |
Away corners
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.4 | — |
Cards
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 53.8% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 62.6% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds