Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-01 14:30
Union Berlin – FC Koln
Home
43%
2.32 fair
Draw
26%
3.82 fair
Away
31%
3.26 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Union Berlin – FC Koln
FINAL
Actual Result
1–1
Union Berlin – FC Koln
Expected Goals2.62
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.549%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.6%
→
43.1%
+0.6 pp
Draw
25.4%
→
26.2%
+0.8 pp
Away
32.0%
→
30.7%
-1.4 pp
Over 2.5
54.3%
→
48.5%
-5.8 pp
Both teams to score
57.5%
→
52.5%
-5.0 pp
Expected Goals
2.86 →
2.62
-0.24
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Both halves
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 4.3% | 23.47 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.45 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.17 | — | |||
| 11.9% | 8.38 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 16.9% | 5.91 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 28.7% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Total goals
| 92.8% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — |
1st-half goals
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — |
Both to score
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.2% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — |
Home corners
| 76.7% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — |
Away corners
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.1% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — |
Cards
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 32.6% | 3.07 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 67.4% | 1.48 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds