Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-30 19:30
Elversberg – Mainz
Home
47%
2.13 fair
Draw
21%
4.78 fair
Away
32%
3.12 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Elversberg – Mainz
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Elversberg – Mainz
Expected Goals3.7
Both teams to score70%
Over 2.571%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
61.7%
→
47.0%
-14.7 pp
Draw
18.7%
→
20.9%
+2.2 pp
Away
19.6%
→
32.1%
+12.5 pp
Over 2.5
70.9%
→
71.5%
+0.6 pp
Both teams to score
65.4%
→
70.5%
+5.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.68 →
3.7
+0.02
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 20.9% | 4.78 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — |
Half-time result
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 14.8% | 6.73 | — |
HT/FT
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.74 | — | |||
| 5.5% | 18.05 | — | |||
| 10.8% | 9.24 | — | |||
| 9.8% | 10.16 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.73 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 31.15 | — | |||
| 13.6% | 7.36 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — | |||
| 25.8% | 3.88 | — | |||
| 39.2% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — |
Total goals
| 88.2% | 1.13 | — | |||
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.51 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 49.2% | 2.03 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.1% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — |
Both to score
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — |
Corners
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — |
Home corners
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — |
Away corners
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — |
Cards
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds