Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-24 13:30
RB Leipzig – Elversberg
Home
54%
1.85 fair
Draw
20%
5.1 fair
Away
26%
3.81 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
RB Leipzig – Elversberg
FINAL
Actual Result
4–0
RB Leipzig – Elversberg
Expected Goals4.09
Both teams to score74%
Over 2.577%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
42.4%
→
54.2%
+11.7 pp
Draw
21.0%
→
19.6%
-1.4 pp
Away
36.5%
→
26.2%
-10.3 pp
Over 2.5
73.7%
→
77.5%
+3.7 pp
Both teams to score
72.7%
→
73.9%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.83 →
4.09
+0.26
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.1 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.81 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 26.0% | 3.85 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 74.0% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — |
Both halves
| 19.5% | 5.14 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.2 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 9.2% | 10.82 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.06 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 19.88 | — | |||
| 5.4% | 18.48 | — | |||
| 15.5% | 6.44 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 77.5% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 58.5% | 1.71 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.92 | — | |||
| 22.5% | 4.44 | — | |||
| 41.5% | 2.41 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — |
Home team goals
| 90.9% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Both to score
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — |
Corners
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — |
Home corners
| 85.2% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Away corners
| 54.3% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — |
Cards
| 68.7% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 32.9% | 3.04 | — | |||
| 20.3% | 4.92 | — | |||
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 67.1% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 79.7% | 1.26 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds