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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17

Union Berlin – Dortmund

Home 17% 5.84 fair
Draw 20% 4.92 fair
Away 63% 1.6 fair
Expected Goals3.0
Most Likely Score0-2
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.0
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.22 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

17.1% 5.84 —
20.3% 4.92 —
62.6% 1.6 —
37.4% 2.67 —
82.9% 1.21 —
79.7% 1.25 —

Half-time result

12.9% 7.78 —
36.3% 2.75 —
50.8% 1.97 —

Half-time double chance

49.2% 2.03 —
87.1% 1.15 —
63.7% 1.57 —

HT/FT

7.5% 13.25 —
3.2% 30.96 —
7.9% 12.72 —
11.9% 8.42 —
16.6% 6.03 —
5.2% 19.23 —
43.9% 2.28 —

HT/FT double chance

30.5% 3.28 —
34.1% 2.93 —
33.8% 2.96 —
17.7% 5.66 —
55.2% 1.81 —
54.4% 1.84 —
26.7% 3.75 —
70.0% 1.43 —
77.6% 1.29 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.4% 1.24 —
57.6% 1.74 —
34.9% 2.86 —
19.6% 5.11 —
42.4% 2.36 —
65.1% 1.54 —

1st-half goals

73.9% 1.35 —
38.8% 2.58 —

Home team goals

61.7% 1.62 —
24.9% 4.01 —

Away team goals

87.0% 1.15 —
60.6% 1.65 —

Both to score

53.5% 1.87 —

Corners

65.7% 1.52 —
54.2% 1.84 —
42.9% 2.33 —
32.7% 3.06 —
24.0% 4.17 —
45.8% 2.18 —
57.1% 1.75 —
67.3% 1.49 —
76.0% 1.32 —

Home corners

64.4% 1.55 —
47.7% 2.1 —
33.0% 3.03 —

Away corners

62.2% 1.61 —
45.6% 2.2 —
31.0% 3.22 —

Cards

74.0% 1.35 —
57.1% 1.75 —
40.7% 2.45 —
26.9% 3.71 —
42.9% 2.33 —
59.3% 1.69 —
73.1% 1.37 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds