Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 13:30
Union Berlin – Dortmund
Home
18%
5.58 fair
Draw
21%
4.66 fair
Away
61%
1.65 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Union Berlin – Dortmund
FINAL
Actual Result
0–0
Union Berlin – Dortmund
Expected Goals2.94
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
17.1%
→
17.9%
+0.8 pp
Draw
20.3%
→
21.4%
+1.1 pp
Away
62.6%
→
60.7%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
57.6%
→
56.4%
-1.3 pp
Both teams to score
53.5%
→
53.5%
-0.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.0 →
2.94
-0.06
Most Likely Score
0-2
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 17.9% | 5.58 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.66 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 82.1% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 12.9% | 7.73 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 50.2% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
HT/FT
| 7.6% | 13.09 | — | |||
| 3.1% | 31.85 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 12.02 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.96 | — | |||
| 16.4% | 6.12 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.42 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — |
Total goals
| 94.5% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 21.3% | 4.7 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.0% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — |
Home team goals
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.9% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 58.4% | 1.71 | — |
Both to score
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — |
Corners
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.5% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 43.0% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.6% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 64.7% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — |
Away corners
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Cards
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — | |||
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds