Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-10 13:30
Union Berlin – Elversberg
Home
21%
4.84 fair
Draw
19%
5.19 fair
Away
60%
1.66 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Union Berlin – Elversberg
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Union Berlin – Elversberg
Expected Goals3.58
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.5%
→
20.7%
+0.2 pp
Draw
19.5%
→
19.2%
-0.2 pp
Away
60.0%
→
60.1%
+0.1 pp
Over 2.5
69.5%
→
69.5%
-0.0 pp
Both teams to score
65.0%
→
64.9%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.58 →
3.58
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.6% | 5.36 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.58 | — |
Both halves
| 4.0% | 25.06 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.5% | 9.52 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.88 | — | |||
| 3.8% | 26.53 | — | |||
| 8.1% | 12.35 | — | |||
| 10.0% | 10.01 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.42 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.49 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.58 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Total goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 69.5% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.76 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Away team goals
| 89.8% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.6% | 1.5 | — |
Both to score
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.5% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.3% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.0% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 31.9% | 3.14 | — | |||
| 36.5% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 68.1% | 1.47 | — |
Home corners
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — |
Away corners
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
Cards
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds