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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2027-01-08

Dortmund – Mainz

Home 66% 1.52 fair
Draw 19% 5.15 fair
Away 15% 6.72 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score2-0
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.559%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 65.7% → 65.7% 0.0 pp
Draw 19.4% → 19.4% +0.0 pp
Away 14.9% → 14.9% 0.0 pp
Over 2.5 59.3% → 59.3% 0.0 pp
Both teams to score 53.0% → 53.0% 0.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.07 → 3.07 0.0
Most Likely Score 2-0 → 2-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.48 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.49 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

65.7% 1.52 —
19.4% 5.15 —
14.9% 6.72 —
85.1% 1.17 —
34.3% 2.92 —
80.6% 1.24 —

Half-time result

48.7% 2.05 —
35.9% 2.78 —
15.3% 6.52 —

Half-time double chance

84.7% 1.18 —
51.3% 1.95 —
64.1% 1.56 —

Both halves

25.7% 3.89 —

HT/FT

43.6% 2.29 —
4.0% 24.75 —
18.9% 5.3 —
11.2% 8.94 —
5.9% 17.04 —
3.2% 31.15 —
4.2% 23.92 —
7.9% 12.59 —

HT/FT double chance

77.7% 1.29 —
69.5% 1.44 —
22.2% 4.51 —
55.1% 1.82 —
55.9% 1.79 —
17.2% 5.8 —
37.5% 2.67 —
35.9% 2.79 —
29.2% 3.43 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
80.7% 1.24 —
59.3% 1.69 —
37.0% 2.7 —
19.3% 5.19 —
40.7% 2.46 —
63.0% 1.59 —

1st-half goals

75.4% 1.33 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Home team goals

88.4% 1.13 —
63.1% 1.59 —

Away team goals

60.0% 1.67 —
23.1% 4.34 —

Both to score

53.0% 1.89 —

Corners

68.9% 1.45 —
57.6% 1.74 —
46.4% 2.15 —
36.1% 2.77 —
26.7% 3.75 —
42.4% 2.36 —
53.6% 1.87 —
63.9% 1.57 —
73.3% 1.36 —

Home corners

75.3% 1.33 —
60.6% 1.65 —
45.8% 2.18 —

Away corners

53.5% 1.87 —
36.3% 2.76 —
22.6% 4.42 —

Cards

77.3% 1.29 —
61.1% 1.64 —
44.6% 2.24 —
30.6% 3.26 —
38.9% 2.57 —
55.4% 1.81 —
69.4% 1.44 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds