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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-20

Freiburg – Stuttgart

Home 37% 2.68 fair
Draw 23% 4.29 fair
Away 39% 2.54 fair
Expected Goals3.3
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.9% → 37.4% +0.4 pp
Draw 22.6% → 23.3% +0.8 pp
Away 40.5% → 39.3% -1.2 pp
Over 2.5 65.6% → 64.1% -1.5 pp
Both teams to score 66.6% → 65.5% -1.0 pp
Expected Goals 3.38 → 3.3 -0.08
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.3
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.18 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

37.4% 2.68 —
23.3% 4.29 —
39.3% 2.54 —
60.7% 1.65 —
62.6% 1.6 —
76.7% 1.3 —

Half-time result

26.8% 3.73 —
39.7% 2.52 —
33.5% 2.98 —

Half-time double chance

66.5% 1.5 —
73.2% 1.37 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Both halves

10.0% 10.02 —

HT/FT

19.7% 5.08 —
4.6% 21.79 —
13.9% 7.18 —
12.7% 7.87 —
13.0% 7.67 —
3.8% 26.67 —
6.0% 16.61 —
23.8% 4.21 —

HT/FT double chance

50.9% 1.96 —
49.2% 2.03 —
32.9% 3.04 —
34.0% 2.94 —
49.7% 2.01 —
36.9% 2.71 —
36.4% 2.75 —
54.5% 1.84 —
55.5% 1.8 —

Total goals

96.3% 1.04 —
84.2% 1.19 —
64.1% 1.56 —
41.9% 2.39 —
15.8% 6.32 —
35.9% 2.78 —
58.1% 1.72 —

1st-half goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.3% 2.61 —

Home team goals

80.4% 1.24 —
48.4% 2.07 —

Away team goals

81.4% 1.23 —
49.7% 2.01 —

Both to score

65.5% 1.53 —

Corners

61.1% 1.64 —
49.0% 2.04 —
38.0% 2.63 —
27.9% 3.59 —
19.6% 5.1 —
51.0% 1.96 —
62.0% 1.61 —
72.1% 1.39 —
80.4% 1.24 —

Home corners

62.3% 1.6 —
45.3% 2.21 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Away corners

58.2% 1.72 —
40.9% 2.45 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Cards

73.5% 1.36 —
56.7% 1.76 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.2% 3.82 —
43.3% 2.31 —
59.7% 1.68 —
73.8% 1.35 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds