Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-13
Mainz – Freiburg
Home
42%
2.36 fair
Draw
25%
4.03 fair
Away
33%
3.05 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.557%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
2 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
43.4%
→
42.4%
-1.0 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
24.8%
+1.3 pp
Away
33.1%
→
32.8%
-0.3 pp
Over 2.5
58.2%
→
56.8%
-1.4 pp
Both teams to score
60.5%
→
59.5%
-1.0 pp
Expected Goals
3.02 →
2.96
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 24.8% | 4.03 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 57.6% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 11.7% | 8.57 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 17.04 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.72 | — | |||
| 13.9% | 7.17 | — | |||
| 11.5% | 8.67 | — | |||
| 5.0% | 20.04 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.32 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 40.3% | 2.48 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.12 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 49.3% | 2.03 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.84 | — | |||
| 43.2% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — |
1st-half goals
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — |
Both to score
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — | |||
| 26.5% | 3.77 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.36 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — |
Home corners
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
Away corners
| 47.7% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.42 | — |
Cards
| 76.4% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 69.4% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds