Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-19
RB Leipzig – Dortmund
Home
38%
2.62 fair
Draw
24%
4.13 fair
Away
38%
2.66 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
36.9%
→
38.2%
+1.3 pp
Draw
23.7%
→
24.2%
+0.6 pp
Away
39.4%
→
37.5%
-1.9 pp
Over 2.5
59.7%
→
59.3%
-0.4 pp
Both teams to score
62.1%
→
61.4%
-0.7 pp
Expected Goals
3.09 →
3.07
-0.02
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 62.5% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 61.8% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Half-time result
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 59.4% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 10.3% | 9.73 | — |
HT/FT
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 6.1% | 16.45 | — | |||
| 3.6% | 27.62 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.67 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.51 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 7.01 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.62 | — | |||
| 19.7% | 5.09 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 3.0 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 52.1% | 1.92 | — |
Total goals
| 95.4% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 81.3% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.34 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — | |||
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.8% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — |
Home team goals
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — |
Away team goals
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.5% | 2.2 | — |
Both to score
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — |
Corners
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.79 | — | |||
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — |
Home corners
| 68.0% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — |
Away corners
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — |
Cards
| 67.2% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.05 | — | |||
| 51.4% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 67.6% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 80.2% | 1.25 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds