Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-19
Mainz – FC Koln
Home
55%
1.81 fair
Draw
23%
4.34 fair
Away
22%
4.6 fair
Expected Goals2.94
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
56.0%
→
55.2%
-0.8 pp
Draw
22.4%
→
23.0%
+0.6 pp
Away
21.6%
→
21.7%
+0.2 pp
Over 2.5
57.2%
→
56.2%
-0.9 pp
Both teams to score
56.2%
→
56.0%
-0.3 pp
Expected Goals
2.97 →
2.94
-0.03
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 23.0% | 4.34 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 77.0% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 46.3% | 2.16 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.7% | 1.86 | — | |||
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 18.3% | 5.45 | — |
HT/FT
| 37.8% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 6.3% | 15.9 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.54 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.76 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.15 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 10.6% | 9.45 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.93 | — | |||
| 37.0% | 2.7 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — |
Total goals
| 94.7% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.81 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — |
Home team goals
| 84.6% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
Away team goals
| 66.0% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.43 | — |
Both to score
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 76.0% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.94 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — |
Home corners
| 79.8% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.92 | — |
Away corners
| 58.8% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — |
Cards
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 53.5% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 39.3% | 2.55 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 60.8% | 1.65 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds