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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-12

FC Koln – RB Leipzig

Home 23% 4.35 fair
Draw 22% 4.6 fair
Away 55% 1.81 fair
Expected Goals3.21
Most Likely Score1-2
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 23.7% → 23.0% -0.7 pp
Draw 21.6% → 21.7% +0.1 pp
Away 54.7% → 55.2% +0.5 pp
Over 2.5 62.3% → 62.2% -0.1 pp
Both teams to score 61.1% → 60.9% -0.2 pp
Expected Goals 3.22 → 3.21 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-2
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.26 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.2 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

23.0% 4.35 —
21.7% 4.6 —
55.2% 1.81 —
44.8% 2.23 —
77.0% 1.3 —
78.3% 1.28 —

Half-time result

14.9% 6.7 —
36.9% 2.71 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Half-time double chance

51.8% 1.93 —
85.1% 1.18 —
63.1% 1.59 —

Both halves

4.1% 24.51 —

HT/FT

9.6% 10.43 —
3.2% 30.86 —
10.4% 9.57 —
11.7% 8.53 —
14.7% 6.78 —
6.8% 14.77 —
38.4% 2.6 —

HT/FT double chance

35.0% 2.86 —
36.9% 2.71 —
31.8% 3.14 —
22.6% 4.43 —
53.1% 1.88 —
50.5% 1.98 —
31.9% 3.13 —
66.6% 1.5 —
71.7% 1.4 —

Total goals

96.0% 1.04 —
83.2% 1.2 —
62.2% 1.61 —
40.2% 2.49 —
16.8% 5.94 —
37.8% 2.65 —
59.8% 1.67 —

1st-half goals

73.6% 1.36 —
38.5% 2.6 —

Home team goals

70.6% 1.42 —
34.5% 2.9 —

Away team goals

86.2% 1.16 —
59.6% 1.68 —

Both to score

60.9% 1.64 —

Corners

76.4% 1.31 —
65.8% 1.52 —
55.0% 1.82 —
44.3% 2.26 —
34.3% 2.91 —
34.2% 2.92 —
45.0% 2.22 —
55.7% 1.8 —
65.7% 1.52 —

Home corners

74.9% 1.34 —
59.4% 1.68 —
44.4% 2.25 —

Away corners

67.1% 1.49 —
50.7% 1.97 —
35.8% 2.8 —

Cards

73.9% 1.35 —
56.7% 1.76 —
40.2% 2.49 —
26.3% 3.8 —
43.3% 2.31 —
59.8% 1.67 —
73.7% 1.36 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds