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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-22

Augsburg – Mainz

Home 39% 2.54 fair
Draw 25% 4.08 fair
Away 36% 2.77 fair
Expected Goals3.01
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.558%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 36.8% → 39.4% +2.6 pp
Draw 25.7% → 24.5% -1.1 pp
Away 37.5% → 36.1% -1.5 pp
Over 2.5 52.7% → 57.7% +5.0 pp
Both teams to score 56.6% → 60.2% +3.6 pp
Expected Goals 2.79 → 3.01 +0.22
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.73 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.72 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

39.4% 2.54 —
24.5% 4.08 —
36.1% 2.77 —
63.9% 1.56 —
60.6% 1.65 —
75.5% 1.33 —

Half-time result

30.0% 3.34 —
36.7% 2.72 —
33.3% 3.0 —

Half-time double chance

66.7% 1.5 —
70.0% 1.43 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Both halves

10.7% 9.31 —

HT/FT

23.6% 4.24 —
4.7% 21.46 —
13.0% 7.71 —
13.5% 7.42 —
10.3% 9.74 —
6.4% 15.62 —
24.1% 4.15 —

HT/FT double chance

54.7% 1.83 —
48.5% 2.06 —
30.1% 3.32 —
37.5% 2.67 —
52.2% 1.91 —
36.9% 2.71 —
35.6% 2.81 —
50.2% 1.99 —
54.3% 1.84 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
80.0% 1.25 —
57.7% 1.73 —
35.8% 2.79 —
20.0% 5.01 —
42.3% 2.36 —
64.2% 1.56 —

1st-half goals

78.1% 1.28 —
45.0% 2.22 —

Home team goals

78.3% 1.28 —
45.9% 2.18 —

Away team goals

76.9% 1.3 —
43.1% 2.32 —

Both to score

60.2% 1.66 —

Corners

71.3% 1.4 —
60.6% 1.65 —
49.7% 2.01 —
38.8% 2.58 —
29.1% 3.43 —
39.4% 2.54 —
50.3% 1.99 —
61.2% 1.63 —
70.9% 1.41 —

Home corners

69.3% 1.44 —
53.2% 1.88 —
37.8% 2.64 —

Away corners

65.8% 1.52 —
49.6% 2.02 —
34.6% 2.89 —

Cards

79.5% 1.26 —
64.2% 1.56 —
48.4% 2.06 —
34.1% 2.93 —
35.8% 2.79 —
51.5% 1.94 —
65.9% 1.52 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds