Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-05
Freiburg – Hoffenheim
Home
49%
2.02 fair
Draw
22%
4.6 fair
Away
29%
3.47 fair
Expected Goals3.47
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.568%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.1%
→
49.5%
+0.4 pp
Draw
21.6%
→
21.7%
+0.1 pp
Away
29.3%
→
28.8%
-0.5 pp
Over 2.5
67.0%
→
67.5%
+0.5 pp
Both teams to score
66.9%
→
66.8%
-0.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.47 →
3.47
0.0
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 15.5% | 6.46 | — |
HT/FT
| 27.8% | 3.59 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.94 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.96 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.21 | — | |||
| 8.6% | 11.6 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.7 | — | |||
| 6.9% | 14.6 | — | |||
| 18.5% | 5.41 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 85.7% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 14.3% | 6.99 | — | |||
| 32.5% | 3.08 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.4% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 45.0% | 2.22 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — |
Away team goals
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — |
Both to score
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Corners
| 63.0% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 29.9% | 3.34 | — | |||
| 21.4% | 4.67 | — | |||
| 48.9% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — |
Away corners
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — |
Cards
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds