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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-12-05

Augsburg – FC Koln

Home 50% 1.99 fair
Draw 24% 4.21 fair
Away 26% 3.85 fair
Expected Goals2.96
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.556%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

11 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.7% → 50.3% +0.6 pp
Draw 23.7% → 23.8% +0.1 pp
Away 26.6% → 26.0% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 57.0% → 56.4% -0.5 pp
Both teams to score 58.3% → 57.9% -0.4 pp
Expected Goals 2.99 → 2.96 -0.03
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.37 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.72 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

50.3% 1.99 —
23.8% 4.21 —
26.0% 3.85 —
74.0% 1.35 —
49.7% 2.01 —
76.2% 1.31 —

Half-time result

38.4% 2.61 —
41.0% 2.44 —
20.7% 4.84 —

Half-time double chance

79.3% 1.26 —
61.7% 1.62 —
59.0% 1.69 —

Both halves

15.5% 6.46 —

HT/FT

30.9% 3.24 —
5.3% 18.8 —
16.8% 5.97 —
13.8% 7.24 —
10.4% 9.61 —
4.6% 21.69 —
13.4% 7.45 —

HT/FT double chance

66.8% 1.5 —
60.2% 1.66 —
31.7% 3.15 —
43.4% 2.3 —
49.1% 2.04 —
25.5% 3.92 —
37.8% 2.64 —
43.2% 2.31 —
42.3% 2.37 —

Total goals

94.8% 1.06 —
79.2% 1.26 —
56.4% 1.77 —
34.5% 2.9 —
20.8% 4.81 —
43.6% 2.3 —
65.5% 1.53 —

1st-half goals

70.5% 1.42 —
34.7% 2.88 —

Home team goals

82.4% 1.21 —
52.5% 1.91 —

Away team goals

70.2% 1.43 —
33.6% 2.98 —

Both to score

57.9% 1.73 —

Corners

76.7% 1.3 —
67.0% 1.49 —
56.2% 1.78 —
45.9% 2.18 —
35.5% 2.82 —
33.0% 3.03 —
43.8% 2.28 —
54.1% 1.85 —
64.5% 1.55 —

Home corners

76.3% 1.31 —
61.9% 1.62 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Away corners

66.0% 1.52 —
49.5% 2.02 —
34.8% 2.88 —

Cards

79.4% 1.26 —
64.0% 1.56 —
48.0% 2.08 —
34.0% 2.94 —
36.0% 2.78 —
52.0% 1.92 —
66.0% 1.52 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds