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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-09-19 14:30

M'gladbach – Mainz

Home 32% 3.15 fair
Draw 23% 4.26 fair
Away 45% 2.23 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 M'gladbach – Mainz
FINAL Actual Result 3–4 M'gladbach – Mainz
Expected Goals3.15
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.561%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.16 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.67 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.7% 3.15 31.5% 3.00
23.5% 4.26 25.5% 3.70
44.8% 2.23 43.0% 2.20
55.2% 1.81 —
68.3% 1.46 —
76.5% 1.31 —

Half-time result

26.3% 3.8 —
36.0% 2.78 —
37.6% 2.66 —

Half-time double chance

62.3% 1.6 —
73.7% 1.36 —
64.0% 1.56 —

Both halves

8.0% 12.58 —

HT/FT

18.9% 5.28 —
4.9% 20.28 —
10.4% 9.58 —
13.0% 7.72 —
12.6% 7.93 —
5.6% 17.92 —
29.7% 3.36 —

HT/FT double chance

47.3% 2.12 —
44.5% 2.25 —
33.0% 3.03 —
31.8% 3.15 —
53.5% 1.87 —
42.7% 2.34 —
31.3% 3.19 —
55.1% 1.81 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Total goals

95.4% 1.05 —
82.0% 1.22 —
61.1% 1.64 62.0% 1.53
38.7% 2.58 —
18.0% 5.54 —
39.0% 2.57 38.0% 2.50
61.3% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

78.6% 1.27 —
46.0% 2.18 —

Home team goals

75.9% 1.32 —
41.5% 2.41 —

Away team goals

81.8% 1.22 —
51.5% 1.94 —

Both to score

62.3% 1.6 —

Corners

65.8% 1.52 —
54.4% 1.84 —
42.8% 2.33 —
32.8% 3.05 —
23.7% 4.22 —
45.6% 2.19 —
57.2% 1.75 —
67.2% 1.49 —
76.3% 1.31 —

Home corners

65.7% 1.52 —
49.0% 2.04 —
34.1% 2.93 —

Away corners

61.1% 1.64 —
44.6% 2.24 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Cards

79.2% 1.26 —
64.0% 1.56 —
48.0% 2.08 —
33.3% 3.01 —
36.0% 2.78 —
52.0% 1.92 —
66.7% 1.5 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds