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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-09-18 19:30

Bayern Munich – Union Berlin

Home 90% 1.11 fair
Draw 6% 16.1 fair
Away 3% 29.85 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 4-0 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin
FINAL Actual Result 7–0 Bayern Munich – Union Berlin
Expected Goals4.82
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.586%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.85 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.86 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

90.5% 1.11 91.7% 1.04
6.2% 16.1 5.0% 19.00
3.4% 29.85 3.3% 29.00
96.7% 1.03 —
9.6% 10.47 —
93.8% 1.07 —

Half-time result

75.5% 1.32 —
19.0% 5.25 —
5.5% 18.25 —

Half-time double chance

94.5% 1.06 —
24.5% 4.08 —
81.0% 1.24 —

Both halves

57.6% 1.74 —

HT/FT

73.1% 1.37 —
14.7% 6.8 —
3.1% 32.68 —

HT/FT double chance

92.8% 1.08 —
89.5% 1.12 —
6.7% 14.95 —
78.9% 1.27 —
77.8% 1.29 —
5.2% 19.16 —
21.6% 4.63 —
20.2% 4.95 —
7.2% 13.89 —

Total goals

95.3% 1.05 —
86.2% 1.16 86.4% 1.10
70.9% 1.41 —
4.7% 21.41 —
13.8% 7.24 13.6% 7.00
29.1% 3.44 —

1st-half goals

88.4% 1.13 —
63.5% 1.57 —

Home team goals

91.2% 1.1 —

Away team goals

54.9% 1.82 —
19.0% 5.27 —

Both to score

53.9% 1.86 —

Corners

71.6% 1.4 —
61.2% 1.64 —
50.1% 1.99 —
39.6% 2.53 —
30.7% 3.26 —
38.9% 2.57 —
49.9% 2.01 —
60.4% 1.65 —
69.3% 1.44 —

Home corners

86.1% 1.16 —
75.9% 1.32 —
63.3% 1.58 —

Away corners

33.9% 2.95 —
19.1% 5.23 —
10.0% 9.97 —

Cards

69.4% 1.44 —
51.4% 1.94 —
34.7% 2.88 —
21.6% 4.62 —
48.6% 2.06 —
65.3% 1.53 —
78.4% 1.28 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds