Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-09-13 16:30

Elversberg – Bayern Munich

Home 8% 12.82 fair
Draw 10% 9.9 fair
Away 82% 1.22 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score Elversberg – Bayern Munich
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Elversberg – Bayern Munich
Expected Goals4.81
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.586%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 4.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.68 model adds signal (+0.9%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.47 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

7.8% 12.82 7.4% 13.00
10.1% 9.9 10.7% 9.00
82.1% 1.22 82.0% 1.17
17.9% 5.59 —
92.2% 1.08 —
89.9% 1.11 —

Half-time result

14.0% 7.16 —
30.8% 3.24 —
55.2% 1.81 —

Half-time double chance

44.8% 2.23 —
86.1% 1.16 —
69.2% 1.45 —

HT/FT

4.1% 24.63 —
3.1% 32.47 —
6.8% 14.71 —
4.8% 20.79 —
23.1% 4.33 —
52.2% 1.92 —

HT/FT double chance

14.9% 6.72 —
36.9% 2.71 —
37.8% 2.64 —
10.2% 9.83 —
63.9% 1.57 —
64.3% 1.56 —
10.8% 9.3 —
79.0% 1.27 —
82.3% 1.21 —

Total goals

95.1% 1.05 —
85.9% 1.16 81.0% 1.17
70.5% 1.42 —
4.9% 20.28 —
14.1% 7.07 19.0% 5.00
29.5% 3.39 —

1st-half goals

81.0% 1.24 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Home team goals

68.5% 1.46 —
32.3% 3.09 —

Away team goals

87.5% 1.14 —

Both to score

66.7% 1.5 —

Corners

71.3% 1.4 —
61.0% 1.64 —
49.9% 2.01 —
39.1% 2.56 —
29.5% 3.38 —
39.1% 2.56 —
50.1% 1.99 —
60.9% 1.64 —
70.5% 1.42 —

Home corners

57.6% 1.74 —
40.3% 2.48 —
26.4% 3.79 —

Away corners

75.7% 1.32 —
61.0% 1.64 —
46.3% 2.16 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

63.9% 1.56 —
44.2% 2.26 —
27.8% 3.6 —
16.3% 6.14 —
55.8% 1.79 —
72.2% 1.38 —
83.7% 1.19 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds