Fair Lines Ελληνικά

Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-09-13 14:30

RB Leipzig – Hamburg

Home 71% 1.4 fair
Draw 17% 6.01 fair
Away 12% 8.32 fair
Expected Goals3.47
Most Likely Score
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.567%

Goals anchored to market odds ⓘ

Total goals ⓘ expected 3.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.96 model adds signal (+0.9%)
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.34 no edge over baseline
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

71.3% 1.4 69.3% 1.36
16.6% 6.01 18.9% 5.00
12.0% 8.32 11.8% 8.00
88.0% 1.14 —
28.7% 3.49 —
83.4% 1.2 —

Half-time result

61.3% 1.63 —
29.2% 3.42 —
9.5% 10.53 —

Half-time double chance

90.5% 1.1 —
38.7% 2.58 —
70.8% 1.41 —

Both halves

31.7% 3.16 —

HT/FT

54.5% 1.83 —
5.3% 18.98 —
14.8% 6.76 —
9.0% 11.14 —
5.5% 18.32 —
5.1% 19.61 —

HT/FT double chance

83.6% 1.2 —
76.2% 1.31 —
21.2% 4.72 —
64.2% 1.56 —
63.1% 1.58 —
14.2% 7.03 —
28.2% 3.55 —
27.4% 3.65 —
21.9% 4.56 —

Total goals

96.9% 1.03 —
85.9% 1.16 —
67.2% 1.49 68.2% 1.40
45.9% 2.18 —
14.1% 7.08 —
32.8% 3.05 31.8% 3.00
54.1% 1.85 —

1st-half goals

80.8% 1.24 —
49.2% 2.03 —

Home team goals

92.0% 1.09 —
71.7% 1.4 —

Away team goals

61.1% 1.64 —
24.2% 4.13 —

Both to score

56.2% 1.78 —

Corners

72.9% 1.37 —
62.8% 1.59 —
51.8% 1.93 —
41.2% 2.43 —
31.6% 3.16 —
37.2% 2.69 —
48.2% 2.07 —
58.8% 1.7 —
68.3% 1.46 —

Home corners

85.0% 1.18 —
74.1% 1.35 —
60.9% 1.64 —

Away corners

40.9% 2.45 —
24.8% 4.03 —
13.6% 7.37 —

Cards Disabled for this league: the model does not beat the baseline here.

75.3% 1.33 —
58.8% 1.7 —
41.9% 2.39 —
28.1% 3.55 —
41.2% 2.43 —
58.1% 1.72 —
71.9% 1.39 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds