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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-29

Dortmund – Leverkusen

Home 53% 1.9 fair
Draw 23% 4.44 fair
Away 25% 4.02 fair
Expected Goals3.15
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.561%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 48.8% → 52.6% +3.8 pp
Draw 23.2% → 22.5% -0.7 pp
Away 28.0% → 24.9% -3.1 pp
Over 2.5 60.6% → 61.1% +0.5 pp
Both teams to score 61.2% → 60.7% -0.6 pp
Expected Goals 3.14 → 3.15 +0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.15
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.17 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.52 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

52.6% 1.9 —
22.5% 4.44 —
24.9% 4.02 —
75.1% 1.33 —
47.4% 2.11 —
77.5% 1.29 —

Half-time result

40.1% 2.5 —
36.4% 2.75 —
23.5% 4.25 —

Half-time double chance

76.5% 1.31 —
59.9% 1.67 —
63.6% 1.57 —

Both halves

17.4% 5.74 —

HT/FT

33.6% 2.98 —
4.9% 20.37 —
15.6% 6.41 —
12.3% 8.1 —
8.5% 11.83 —
3.5% 28.82 —
5.2% 19.05 —
14.8% 6.75 —

HT/FT double chance

66.4% 1.51 —
59.2% 1.69 —
27.3% 3.66 —
47.2% 2.12 —
53.4% 1.87 —
26.6% 3.76 —
36.7% 2.73 —
42.3% 2.36 —
40.9% 2.45 —

Total goals

95.5% 1.05 —
82.1% 1.22 —
61.1% 1.64 —
38.5% 2.59 —
17.9% 5.58 —
38.9% 2.57 —
61.5% 1.63 —

1st-half goals

77.3% 1.29 —
43.5% 2.3 —

Home team goals

84.8% 1.18 —
56.9% 1.76 —

Away team goals

71.3% 1.4 —
35.4% 2.82 —

Both to score

60.7% 1.65 —

Corners

65.8% 1.52 —
54.3% 1.84 —
42.9% 2.33 —
32.6% 3.07 —
23.6% 4.24 —
45.7% 2.19 —
57.1% 1.75 —
67.4% 1.48 —
76.4% 1.31 —

Home corners

63.5% 1.57 —
46.9% 2.13 —
32.0% 3.12 —

Away corners

63.0% 1.59 —
46.2% 2.17 —
31.7% 3.16 —

Cards

77.7% 1.29 —
61.9% 1.62 —
45.1% 2.22 —
31.1% 3.21 —
38.1% 2.63 —
54.9% 1.82 —
68.9% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds