Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-04 19:45
Oxford – Reading
Home
48%
2.07 fair
Draw
25%
4.02 fair
Away
27%
3.75 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Oxford – Reading
FINAL
Actual Result
2–0
Oxford – Reading
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
49.7%
→
48.4%
-1.3 pp
Draw
23.0%
→
24.9%
+1.9 pp
Away
27.4%
→
26.7%
-0.7 pp
Over 2.5
62.2%
→
53.2%
-8.9 pp
Both teams to score
62.7%
→
55.9%
-6.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.21 →
2.81
-0.4
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 26.7% | 3.75 | — | |||
| 73.3% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 75.1% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 20.5% | 4.88 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.5% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Both halves
| 13.5% | 7.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 20.2% | 4.94 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.38 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.17 | — | |||
| 3.3% | 30.21 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — | |||
| 12.5% | 8.0 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 37.4% | 2.67 | — | |||
| 42.6% | 2.35 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 48.3% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 77.1% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 22.9% | 4.36 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 23.9% | 4.19 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.1% | 3.11 | — |
Both to score
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — |
Corners
| 73.7% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.6% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 36.4% | 2.74 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 74.7% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Away corners
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 32.0% | 3.13 | — |
Cards
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.9% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.9 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 60.1% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds