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Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-04 19:45

Oxford – Reading

Home 48% 2.07 fair
Draw 25% 4.02 fair
Away 27% 3.75 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Oxford – Reading
FINAL Actual Result 2–0 Oxford – Reading
Expected Goals2.81
Both teams to score56%
Over 2.553%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 49.7% → 48.4% -1.3 pp
Draw 23.0% → 24.9% +1.9 pp
Away 27.4% → 26.7% -0.7 pp
Over 2.5 62.2% → 53.2% -8.9 pp
Both teams to score 62.7% → 55.9% -6.8 pp
Expected Goals 3.21 → 2.81 -0.4
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.12 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.17 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

48.4% 2.07 —
24.9% 4.02 —
26.7% 3.75 —
73.3% 1.36 —
51.6% 1.94 —
75.1% 1.33 —

Half-time result

31.4% 3.19 —
48.1% 2.08 —
20.5% 4.88 —

Half-time double chance

79.5% 1.26 —
68.6% 1.46 —
51.8% 1.93 —

Both halves

13.5% 7.42 —

HT/FT

24.9% 4.02 —
4.6% 21.88 —
20.2% 4.94 —
15.7% 6.38 —
12.2% 8.17 —
3.3% 30.21 —
4.7% 21.41 —
12.5% 8.0 —

HT/FT double chance

65.3% 1.53 —
59.3% 1.69 —
34.4% 2.91 —
37.4% 2.67 —
42.6% 2.35 —
23.7% 4.22 —
43.9% 2.28 —
48.3% 2.07 —
45.1% 2.22 —

Total goals

93.8% 1.07 —
77.1% 1.3 —
53.2% 1.88 —
30.9% 3.24 —
22.9% 4.36 —
46.8% 2.14 —
69.1% 1.45 —

1st-half goals

60.7% 1.65 —
23.9% 4.19 —

Home team goals

80.7% 1.24 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Away team goals

69.1% 1.45 —
32.1% 3.11 —

Both to score

55.9% 1.79 —

Corners

73.7% 1.36 —
63.6% 1.57 —
52.8% 1.9 —
42.7% 2.34 —
33.2% 3.01 —
36.4% 2.74 —
47.2% 2.12 —
57.3% 1.75 —
66.8% 1.5 —

Home corners

74.7% 1.34 —
60.4% 1.66 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Away corners

61.9% 1.62 —
46.2% 2.17 —
32.0% 3.13 —

Cards

74.6% 1.34 —
56.6% 1.77 —
39.9% 2.5 —
25.6% 3.9 —
43.4% 2.3 —
60.1% 1.66 —
74.4% 1.34 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds