Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03 19:45
Watford – Lincoln
Home
49%
2.02 fair
Draw
25%
3.98 fair
Away
25%
3.93 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Watford – Lincoln
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Watford – Lincoln
Expected Goals2.68
Both teams to score53%
Over 2.550%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
15 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
37.0%
→
49.5%
+12.5 pp
Draw
33.6%
→
25.1%
-8.5 pp
Away
29.4%
→
25.4%
-4.0 pp
Over 2.5
25.0%
→
50.3%
+25.3 pp
Both teams to score
33.3%
→
52.5%
+19.2 pp
Expected Goals
1.73 →
2.68
+0.95
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 22.7% | 4.4 | — | |||
| 48.1% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 29.2% | 3.42 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 70.8% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 51.9% | 1.93 | — |
Both halves
| 11.6% | 8.61 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.6% | 5.11 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 15.4% | 6.5 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.89 | — | |||
| 5.6% | 17.76 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.76 | — | |||
| 16.3% | 6.12 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 27.0% | 3.71 | — | |||
| 34.9% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 42.2% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 54.6% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Total goals
| 93.0% | 1.08 | — | |||
| 74.8% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 50.3% | 1.99 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.53 | — | |||
| 25.2% | 3.97 | — | |||
| 49.7% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 71.7% | 1.4 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 3.99 | — |
Home team goals
| 79.7% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.38 | — |
Both to score
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — |
Corners
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.8% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 45.2% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 35.5% | 2.81 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 44.2% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 54.8% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 64.4% | 1.55 | — |
Home corners
| 82.9% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 57.8% | 1.73 | — |
Away corners
| 53.3% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 23.3% | 4.29 | — |
Cards
| 83.2% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.25 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds