Fixtures / Championship / 2026-11-03
Derby – Norwich
Home
40%
2.51 fair
Draw
25%
4.0 fair
Away
35%
2.84 fair
Expected Goals2.89
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score58%
Over 2.555%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 39.8% | 2.51 | — | |||
| 25.0% | 4.0 | — | |||
| 35.2% | 2.84 | — | |||
| 64.8% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 60.2% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 75.0% | 1.33 | — |
Half-time result
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 26.6% | 3.76 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 66.1% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 60.5% | 1.65 | — |
Both halves
| 10.8% | 9.3 | — |
HT/FT
| 25.5% | 3.93 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.86 | — | |||
| 12.3% | 8.13 | — | |||
| 14.4% | 6.96 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.78 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.14 | — | |||
| 19.8% | 5.04 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 49.8% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 33.4% | 2.99 | — | |||
| 47.0% | 2.13 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — |
Total goals
| 94.0% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 77.9% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 55.2% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 44.8% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.53 | — |
Home team goals
| 77.4% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Away team goals
| 74.9% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Both to score
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Corners
| 72.5% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 62.0% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 50.9% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 40.2% | 2.49 | — | |||
| 30.8% | 3.24 | — | |||
| 38.0% | 2.63 | — | |||
| 49.1% | 2.04 | — | |||
| 59.8% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — |
Away corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 49.4% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 34.8% | 2.87 | — |
Cards
| 73.4% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds