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Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-31 12:30

Lincoln – Birmingham

Home 32% 3.15 fair
Draw 27% 3.64 fair
Away 41% 2.46 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Lincoln – Birmingham
FINAL Actual Result 1–3 Lincoln – Birmingham
Expected Goals2.43
Both teams to score49%
Over 2.543%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 35.3% → 31.8% -3.6 pp
Draw 34.0% → 27.5% -6.5 pp
Away 30.6% → 40.7% +10.1 pp
Over 2.5 24.6% → 43.4% +18.8 pp
Both teams to score 33.0% → 49.5% +16.4 pp
Expected Goals 1.71 → 2.43 +0.72
Most Likely Score 0-0 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.28 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.3 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

31.8% 3.15 —
27.5% 3.64 —
40.7% 2.46 —
59.3% 1.69 —
68.2% 1.47 —
72.5% 1.38 —

Half-time result

34.5% 2.9 —
44.0% 2.27 —
21.4% 4.66 —

Half-time double chance

78.5% 1.27 —
65.5% 1.53 —
56.0% 1.79 —

Both halves

6.4% 15.67 —

HT/FT

22.6% 4.43 —
7.9% 12.72 —
4.1% 24.33 —
8.5% 11.79 —
16.9% 5.91 —
18.6% 5.37 —
18.0% 5.56 —

HT/FT double chance

55.8% 1.79 —
53.8% 1.86 —
47.5% 2.1 —
33.9% 2.95 —
45.4% 2.2 —
32.7% 3.06 —
28.8% 3.47 —
45.8% 2.18 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Total goals

91.4% 1.09 —
70.2% 1.43 —
43.4% 2.3 —
22.8% 4.38 —
29.8% 3.35 —
56.6% 1.77 —
77.2% 1.3 —

1st-half goals

66.5% 1.5 —
30.1% 3.32 —

Home team goals

67.8% 1.48 —
30.7% 3.26 —

Away team goals

73.1% 1.37 —
37.5% 2.66 —

Both to score

49.5% 2.02 —

Corners

75.3% 1.33 —
65.5% 1.53 —
55.1% 1.81 —
44.7% 2.24 —
34.8% 2.87 —
34.5% 2.9 —
44.9% 2.23 —
55.3% 1.81 —
65.2% 1.53 —

Home corners

61.4% 1.63 —
44.8% 2.23 —
30.5% 3.28 —

Away corners

77.0% 1.3 —
63.6% 1.57 —
49.4% 2.02 —

Cards

75.7% 1.32 —
58.8% 1.7 —
41.6% 2.4 —
27.4% 3.66 —
41.2% 2.43 —
58.4% 1.71 —
72.7% 1.38 —

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