Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-24 14:00
Lincoln – Burnley
Home
16%
6.06 fair
Draw
26%
3.91 fair
Away
58%
1.73 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
0-1
Lincoln – Burnley
FINAL
Actual Result
4–1
Lincoln – Burnley
Expected Goals2.28
Both teams to score41%
Over 2.540%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
10 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
24.0%
→
16.5%
-7.5 pp
Draw
34.4%
→
25.6%
-8.9 pp
Away
41.6%
→
57.9%
+16.4 pp
Over 2.5
22.3%
→
39.7%
+17.5 pp
Both teams to score
29.9%
→
40.6%
+10.6 pp
Expected Goals
1.62 →
2.28
+0.66
Most Likely Score
0-0
→
0-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 16.5% | 6.06 | — | |||
| 25.6% | 3.91 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.38 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 23.2% | 4.31 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
HT/FT
| 11.6% | 8.59 | — | |||
| 6.8% | 14.73 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.96 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.74 | — | |||
| 16.7% | 6.01 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.74 | — | |||
| 26.4% | 3.79 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 47.8% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 20.8% | 4.8 | — | |||
| 43.1% | 2.32 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 23.6% | 4.23 | — | |||
| 58.0% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 71.9% | 1.39 | — |
Total goals
| 89.9% | 1.11 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 19.6% | 5.09 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 60.3% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 80.4% | 1.24 | — |
1st-half goals
| 61.1% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.1 | — |
Home team goals
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
Away team goals
| 79.4% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.2% | 2.16 | — |
Both to score
| 40.6% | 2.46 | — |
Corners
| 73.0% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 30.2% | 3.31 | — |
Away corners
| 74.5% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — |
Cards
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.8% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 54.2% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds