Fixtures / League One / 2026-11-28
Luton – Oxford
Home
37%
2.68 fair
Draw
25%
3.94 fair
Away
37%
2.68 fair
Expected Goals2.79
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.553%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
17 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
41.1%
→
37.3%
-3.9 pp
Draw
23.5%
→
25.4%
+1.9 pp
Away
35.3%
→
37.3%
+2.0 pp
Over 2.5
62.1%
→
52.8%
-9.3 pp
Both teams to score
63.7%
→
56.8%
-6.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.2 →
2.79
-0.41
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 25.4% | 3.94 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 62.7% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 74.6% | 1.34 | — |
Half-time result
| 28.8% | 3.48 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 9.3% | 10.79 | — |
HT/FT
| 21.2% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.16 | — | |||
| 13.5% | 7.4 | — | |||
| 14.5% | 6.91 | — | |||
| 12.6% | 7.97 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.48 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.47 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.75 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — |
Total goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 30.9% | 3.23 | — | |||
| 23.5% | 4.26 | — | |||
| 47.2% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 69.0% | 1.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — |
Home team goals
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 40.5% | 2.47 | — |
Away team goals
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — |
Both to score
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — |
Corners
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 60.6% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 50.5% | 1.98 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 29.7% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 49.5% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Home corners
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 70.3% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — |
Away corners
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.29 | — |
Cards
| 78.6% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 62.4% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 31.2% | 3.2 | — | |||
| 37.6% | 2.66 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds