Fixtures / Championship / 2026-10-14 18:45
Norwich – Southampton
Home
34%
2.98 fair
Draw
22%
4.46 fair
Away
44%
2.27 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Norwich – Southampton
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Norwich – Southampton
Expected Goals3.48
Both teams to score68%
Over 2.567%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
34.0%
→
33.5%
-0.5 pp
Draw
21.8%
→
22.4%
+0.6 pp
Away
44.2%
→
44.0%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
69.0%
→
67.0%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
68.6%
→
67.8%
-0.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.54 →
3.48
-0.06
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 77.6% | 1.29 | — |
Half-time result
| 27.1% | 3.69 | — | |||
| 36.3% | 2.76 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 63.7% | 1.57 | — |
Both halves
| 8.9% | 11.29 | — |
HT/FT
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 4.9% | 20.37 | — | |||
| 11.2% | 8.93 | — | |||
| 11.8% | 8.47 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.52 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.58 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 32.8% | 3.05 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 53.1% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 41.4% | 2.42 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 58.7% | 1.7 | — |
Total goals
| 96.8% | 1.03 | — | |||
| 86.2% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 45.9% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 13.8% | 7.27 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 54.1% | 1.85 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — |
Home team goals
| 80.1% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 47.9% | 2.09 | — |
Away team goals
| 84.4% | 1.18 | — | |||
| 55.5% | 1.8 | — |
Both to score
| 67.8% | 1.48 | — |
Corners
| 74.4% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 64.3% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 53.3% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 42.7% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 33.2% | 3.01 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 57.3% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — |
Home corners
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — | |||
| 57.4% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — |
Away corners
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.0% | 1.96 | — | |||
| 36.2% | 2.76 | — |
Cards
| 76.3% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.9% | 2.39 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.62 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 58.1% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 72.4% | 1.38 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds