Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-21
M'gladbach – Dortmund
Home
19%
5.17 fair
Draw
22%
4.6 fair
Away
59%
1.7 fair
Expected Goals3.07
Most Likely Score1-1
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.559%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
20.0%
→
19.4%
-0.7 pp
Draw
20.9%
→
21.7%
+0.9 pp
Away
59.1%
→
58.9%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
62.0%
→
59.1%
-2.9 pp
Both teams to score
59.0%
→
57.2%
-1.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.22 →
3.07
-0.15
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 19.4% | 5.17 | — | |||
| 21.7% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 58.9% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.43 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 78.3% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.3% | 5.47 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 43.4% | 2.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 3.6% | 28.01 | — |
HT/FT
| 10.5% | 9.55 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.88 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.96 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.68 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.89 | — | |||
| 18.4% | 5.44 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 37.3% | 2.68 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 35.0% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.74 | — | |||
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 49.6% | 2.02 | — | |||
| 26.1% | 3.84 | — | |||
| 64.6% | 1.55 | — | |||
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — |
Total goals
| 95.1% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 80.7% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.5% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.6 | — |
Home team goals
| 65.9% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 29.1% | 3.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.5% | 1.68 | — |
Both to score
| 57.2% | 1.75 | — |
Corners
| 66.7% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.7% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 24.7% | 4.05 | — | |||
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.3% | 1.33 | — |
Home corners
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 43.3% | 2.31 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — |
Away corners
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 36.7% | 2.72 | — |
Cards
| 73.9% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 26.2% | 3.82 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.3 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds