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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-20

Bayern Munich – FC Koln

Home 90% 1.12 fair
Draw 7% 14.53 fair
Away 4% 28.25 fair
Expected Goals4.69
Most Likely Score3-0
Both teams to score54%
Over 2.585%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

18 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 90.2% → 89.6% -0.6 pp
Draw 6.6% → 6.9% +0.3 pp
Away 3.3% → 3.5% +0.3 pp
Over 2.5 86.1% → 84.6% -1.5 pp
Both teams to score 54.9% → 53.6% -1.4 pp
Expected Goals 4.87 → 4.69 -0.18
Most Likely Score 4-0 → 3-0
Total goals ⓘ expected 4.69
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.79 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.03 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

89.6% 1.12 —
6.9% 14.53 —
3.5% 28.25 —
96.5% 1.04 —
10.4% 9.6 —
93.1% 1.07 —

Half-time result

72.5% 1.38 —
22.1% 4.52 —
5.4% 18.38 —

Half-time double chance

94.6% 1.06 —
27.5% 3.63 —
77.9% 1.28 —

Both halves

55.3% 1.81 —

HT/FT

69.8% 1.43 —
17.1% 5.84 —
3.5% 28.99 —

HT/FT double chance

92.5% 1.08 —
89.1% 1.12 —
7.6% 13.16 —
75.9% 1.32 —
74.5% 1.34 —
5.5% 18.32 —
24.6% 4.07 —
22.7% 4.41 —
7.8% 12.82 —

Total goals

94.9% 1.05 —
84.6% 1.18 —
68.7% 1.46 —
5.1% 19.61 —
15.4% 6.5 —
31.3% 3.2 —

1st-half goals

84.8% 1.18 —
56.2% 1.78 —

Home team goals

90.3% 1.11 —

Away team goals

54.6% 1.83 —
19.2% 5.2 —

Both to score

53.6% 1.87 —

Corners

79.1% 1.26 —
69.7% 1.44 —
59.9% 1.67 —
49.5% 2.02 —
39.6% 2.53 —
30.3% 3.3 —
40.1% 2.5 —
50.5% 1.98 —
60.4% 1.66 —

Home corners

89.5% 1.12 —
80.8% 1.24 —
69.8% 1.43 —

Away corners

41.4% 2.41 —
25.2% 3.97 —
13.9% 7.18 —

Cards

71.0% 1.41 —
53.5% 1.87 —
37.4% 2.67 —
24.3% 4.12 —
46.5% 2.15 —
62.6% 1.6 —
75.7% 1.32 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds