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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-08 14:30

FC Koln – Leverkusen

Home 22% 4.57 fair
Draw 21% 4.71 fair
Away 57% 1.76 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 FC Koln – Leverkusen
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 FC Koln – Leverkusen
Expected Goals3.22
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.562%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 19.6% → 21.9% +2.3 pp
Draw 19.8% → 21.2% +1.5 pp
Away 60.6% → 56.9% -3.7 pp
Over 2.5 63.6% → 62.3% -1.3 pp
Both teams to score 60.2% → 60.5% +0.3 pp
Expected Goals 3.29 → 3.22 -0.07
Most Likely Score 1-2 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.94 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
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17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.89 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
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5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

21.9% 4.57 —
21.2% 4.71 —
56.9% 1.76 —
43.1% 2.32 —
78.1% 1.28 —
78.8% 1.27 —

Half-time result

17.3% 5.77 —
33.9% 2.95 —
48.8% 2.05 —

Half-time double chance

51.2% 1.95 —
82.7% 1.21 —
66.1% 1.51 —

Both halves

4.4% 22.83 —

HT/FT

11.2% 8.94 —
3.8% 26.67 —
8.4% 11.93 —
11.6% 8.66 —
13.9% 7.18 —
5.9% 16.81 —
40.5% 2.47 —

HT/FT double chance

34.9% 2.87 —
35.9% 2.79 —
31.6% 3.16 —
23.2% 4.31 —
56.5% 1.77 —
52.6% 1.9 —
28.2% 3.54 —
65.2% 1.53 —
72.0% 1.39 —

Total goals

95.8% 1.04 —
82.6% 1.21 —
62.3% 1.61 —
40.4% 2.48 —
17.4% 5.76 —
37.7% 2.65 —
59.7% 1.68 —

1st-half goals

78.7% 1.27 —
45.3% 2.21 —

Home team goals

69.6% 1.44 —
33.4% 3.0 —

Away team goals

86.7% 1.15 —
60.0% 1.67 —

Both to score

60.5% 1.65 —

Corners

73.2% 1.37 —
62.6% 1.6 —
51.7% 1.93 —
41.2% 2.43 —
30.9% 3.24 —
37.4% 2.67 —
48.3% 2.07 —
58.8% 1.7 —
69.1% 1.45 —

Home corners

62.6% 1.6 —
45.6% 2.19 —
31.4% 3.19 —

Away corners

73.8% 1.36 —
58.8% 1.7 —
44.2% 2.26 —

Cards

81.0% 1.23 —
66.5% 1.5 —
50.8% 1.97 —
36.2% 2.76 —
33.5% 2.99 —
49.2% 2.03 —
63.8% 1.57 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds