Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-11-07 14:30
Mainz – Bayern Munich
Home
14%
7.39 fair
Draw
16%
6.31 fair
Away
71%
1.42 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Mainz – Bayern Munich
FINAL
Actual Result
1–2
Mainz – Bayern Munich
Expected Goals3.97
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.576%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
13 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.5%
→
13.5%
-1.0 pp
Draw
17.3%
→
15.9%
-1.4 pp
Away
68.2%
→
70.6%
+2.4 pp
Over 2.5
71.4%
→
75.7%
+4.3 pp
Both teams to score
62.6%
→
65.3%
+2.6 pp
Expected Goals
3.72 →
3.97
+0.25
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 13.5% | 7.39 | — | |||
| 15.9% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 86.5% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 84.1% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 16.5% | 6.07 | — | |||
| 29.6% | 3.37 | — | |||
| 53.9% | 1.86 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.1% | 12.35 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.64 | — | |||
| 4.5% | 22.27 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.73 | — | |||
| 7.8% | 12.8 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.74 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 24.1 | — | |||
| 48.7% | 2.05 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 34.4% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.82 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.75 | — | |||
| 71.6% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — |
Total goals
| 90.6% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 56.2% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.63 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 43.8% | 2.28 | — |
1st-half goals
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.99 | — |
Away team goals
| 93.8% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.5% | 1.31 | — |
Both to score
| 65.3% | 1.53 | — |
Corners
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 44.0% | 2.27 | — | |||
| 33.6% | 2.98 | — | |||
| 24.4% | 4.09 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 56.0% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 55.0% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 23.7% | 4.22 | — |
Away corners
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 55.9% | 1.79 | — | |||
| 41.3% | 2.42 | — |
Cards
| 72.1% | 1.39 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 24.5% | 4.08 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 62.1% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds