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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-31 17:30

Bayern Munich – Dortmund

Home 64% 1.55 fair
Draw 18% 5.48 fair
Away 17% 5.75 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 2-1 Bayern Munich – Dortmund
FINAL Actual Result 2–2 Bayern Munich – Dortmund
Expected Goals3.74
Both teams to score65%
Over 2.572%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

12 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 63.7% → 64.4% +0.6 pp
Draw 18.0% → 18.2% +0.3 pp
Away 18.3% → 17.4% -0.9 pp
Over 2.5 72.5% → 71.6% -0.9 pp
Both teams to score 66.1% → 65.2% -0.9 pp
Expected Goals 3.78 → 3.74 -0.04
Most Likely Score 2-1 → 2-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 9.54 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 3.64 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

64.4% 1.55 —
18.2% 5.48 —
17.4% 5.75 —
82.6% 1.21 —
35.6% 2.81 —
81.8% 1.22 —

Half-time result

45.2% 2.21 —
35.6% 2.81 —
19.2% 5.19 —

Half-time double chance

80.8% 1.24 —
54.8% 1.82 —
64.4% 1.55 —

Both halves

25.4% 3.93 —

HT/FT

39.5% 2.53 —
4.1% 24.51 —
20.0% 5.0 —
9.3% 10.79 —
6.3% 15.92 —
4.9% 20.41 —
4.9% 20.41 —
9.5% 10.57 —

HT/FT double chance

72.8% 1.37 —
67.4% 1.48 —
21.3% 4.7 —
53.3% 1.88 —
55.5% 1.8 —
20.1% 4.98 —
39.1% 2.56 —
40.7% 2.46 —
29.9% 3.34 —

Total goals

88.9% 1.12 —
71.6% 1.4 —
50.9% 1.96 —
11.1% 9.0 —
28.4% 3.53 —
49.1% 2.04 —

1st-half goals

77.2% 1.29 —
44.0% 2.28 —

Home team goals

91.6% 1.09 —
71.2% 1.41 —

Away team goals

71.2% 1.41 —
35.7% 2.8 —

Both to score

65.2% 1.53 —

Corners

69.0% 1.45 —
58.2% 1.72 —
46.9% 2.13 —
36.5% 2.74 —
27.8% 3.6 —
41.8% 2.39 —
53.1% 1.88 —
63.5% 1.58 —
72.2% 1.38 —

Home corners

81.6% 1.23 —
68.7% 1.46 —
55.3% 1.81 —

Away corners

42.0% 2.38 —
25.5% 3.92 —
14.3% 6.97 —

Cards

66.4% 1.51 —
47.3% 2.11 —
31.0% 3.23 —
18.6% 5.38 —
52.7% 1.9 —
69.0% 1.45 —
81.4% 1.23 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds