Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-25 16:30
Freiburg – Bayern Munich
Home
14%
7.05 fair
Draw
16%
6.31 fair
Away
70%
1.43 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Freiburg – Bayern Munich
FINAL
Actual Result
1–3
Freiburg – Bayern Munich
Expected Goals4.0
Both teams to score66%
Over 2.576%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
14.0%
→
14.2%
+0.1 pp
Draw
15.4%
→
15.8%
+0.4 pp
Away
70.5%
→
70.0%
-0.6 pp
Over 2.5
75.8%
→
75.7%
-0.1 pp
Both teams to score
65.6%
→
66.4%
+0.8 pp
Expected Goals
3.97 →
4.0
+0.03
Most Likely Score
1-2
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 14.2% | 7.05 | — | |||
| 15.8% | 6.31 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 85.8% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 84.2% | 1.19 | — |
Half-time result
| 18.8% | 5.33 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 47.4% | 2.11 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 52.6% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
HT/FT
| 8.2% | 12.25 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.32 | — | |||
| 5.9% | 16.95 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.1 | — | |||
| 7.9% | 12.64 | — | |||
| 21.1% | 4.73 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.86 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 25.5% | 3.92 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 39.7% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 17.4% | 5.76 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 56.8% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.82 | — | |||
| 70.1% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 75.2% | 1.33 | — |
Total goals
| 90.5% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 75.7% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 56.5% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.58 | — | |||
| 24.3% | 4.12 | — | |||
| 43.5% | 2.3 | — |
1st-half goals
| 79.3% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 46.4% | 2.15 | — |
Home team goals
| 71.0% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.7% | 2.88 | — |
Away team goals
| 93.7% | 1.07 | — | |||
| 76.2% | 1.31 | — |
Both to score
| 66.4% | 1.51 | — |
Corners
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 25.1% | 3.98 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.71 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 74.9% | 1.34 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — |
Home corners
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 27.6% | 3.63 | — | |||
| 16.2% | 6.19 | — |
Away corners
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 52.8% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — |
Cards
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 46.8% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 30.0% | 3.33 | — | |||
| 18.0% | 5.55 | — | |||
| 53.2% | 1.88 | — | |||
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 82.0% | 1.22 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds