Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-24 13:30
Mainz – Werder Bremen
Home
53%
1.9 fair
Draw
23%
4.32 fair
Away
24%
4.14 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Mainz – Werder Bremen
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Mainz – Werder Bremen
Expected Goals2.94
Both teams to score57%
Over 2.556%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
3 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
52.2%
→
52.7%
+0.5 pp
Draw
23.9%
→
23.1%
-0.8 pp
Away
23.9%
→
24.1%
+0.3 pp
Over 2.5
53.9%
→
56.3%
+2.4 pp
Both teams to score
55.1%
→
56.6%
+1.4 pp
Expected Goals
2.84 →
2.94
+0.1
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 24.1% | 4.14 | — | |||
| 75.9% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 76.9% | 1.3 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 37.1% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.84 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — |
Both halves
| 17.1% | 5.83 | — |
HT/FT
| 38.2% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 7.1% | 14.03 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 13.0% | 7.69 | — | |||
| 11.1% | 8.98 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.22 | — | |||
| 10.1% | 9.95 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 71.3% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 49.9% | 2.01 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 23.1% | 4.32 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — | |||
| 35.8% | 2.8 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — |
Total goals
| 94.8% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 79.2% | 1.26 | — | |||
| 56.3% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.82 | — | |||
| 43.7% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 66.2% | 1.51 | — |
1st-half goals
| 72.9% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 37.5% | 2.67 | — |
Home team goals
| 83.4% | 1.2 | — | |||
| 53.6% | 1.87 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.17 | — |
Both to score
| 56.6% | 1.77 | — |
Corners
| 65.2% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 54.0% | 1.85 | — | |||
| 42.9% | 2.33 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 24.2% | 4.13 | — | |||
| 46.0% | 2.18 | — | |||
| 57.1% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — |
Home corners
| 75.5% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 45.7% | 2.19 | — |
Away corners
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 18.2% | 5.48 | — |
Cards
| 82.6% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.6% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.7% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 38.4% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.19 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 61.6% | 1.62 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds