Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-23 18:30
Stuttgart – M'gladbach
Home
66%
1.52 fair
Draw
18%
5.46 fair
Away
16%
6.25 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Stuttgart – M'gladbach
FINAL
Actual Result
2–3
Stuttgart – M'gladbach
Expected Goals3.56
Both teams to score62%
Over 2.569%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
65.2%
→
65.7%
+0.5 pp
Draw
17.7%
→
18.3%
+0.6 pp
Away
17.1%
→
16.0%
-1.1 pp
Over 2.5
70.8%
→
68.9%
-1.9 pp
Both teams to score
63.6%
→
61.7%
-1.9 pp
Expected Goals
3.64 →
3.56
-0.08
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 65.7% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 18.3% | 5.46 | — | |||
| 16.0% | 6.25 | — | |||
| 84.0% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 34.3% | 2.91 | — | |||
| 81.7% | 1.22 | — |
Half-time result
| 51.2% | 1.95 | — | |||
| 33.1% | 3.02 | — | |||
| 15.7% | 6.36 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 84.3% | 1.19 | — | |||
| 48.8% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 27.4% | 3.65 | — |
HT/FT
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 4.8% | 20.88 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.73 | — | |||
| 9.6% | 10.37 | — | |||
| 6.0% | 16.72 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.57 | — | |||
| 3.9% | 25.91 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.95 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 22.1% | 4.53 | — | |||
| 56.9% | 1.76 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 18.7% | 5.35 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 27.9% | 3.59 | — |
Total goals
| 87.1% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.08 | — | |||
| 12.9% | 7.73 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.22 | — | |||
| 52.0% | 1.92 | — |
1st-half goals
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 46.1% | 2.17 | — |
Home team goals
| 91.1% | 1.1 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.7% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 31.0% | 3.22 | — |
Both to score
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
Corners
| 72.8% | 1.37 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.8% | 2.45 | — | |||
| 31.1% | 3.21 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 59.2% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 68.9% | 1.45 | — |
Home corners
| 81.5% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.81 | — |
Away corners
| 48.9% | 2.05 | — | |||
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — |
Cards
| 77.3% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 61.2% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 44.7% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.26 | — | |||
| 38.8% | 2.58 | — | |||
| 55.3% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 69.3% | 1.44 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds