Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-18 13:30
Leverkusen – Freiburg
Home
63%
1.58 fair
Draw
19%
5.19 fair
Away
18%
5.67 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Leverkusen – Freiburg
FINAL
Actual Result
2–1
Leverkusen – Freiburg
Expected Goals3.42
Both teams to score61%
Over 2.566%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
62.6%
→
63.1%
+0.5 pp
Draw
19.6%
→
19.2%
-0.3 pp
Away
17.9%
→
17.6%
-0.2 pp
Over 2.5
63.9%
→
65.8%
+1.9 pp
Both teams to score
59.8%
→
61.0%
+1.2 pp
Expected Goals
3.32 →
3.42
+0.1
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 63.1% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.19 | — | |||
| 17.6% | 5.67 | — | |||
| 82.3% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 36.9% | 2.71 | — | |||
| 80.8% | 1.24 | — |
Half-time result
| 48.2% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 18.8% | 5.31 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.2% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 51.8% | 1.93 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — |
Both halves
| 24.9% | 4.02 | — |
HT/FT
| 42.8% | 2.34 | — | |||
| 4.2% | 23.75 | — | |||
| 16.8% | 5.97 | — | |||
| 10.4% | 9.57 | — | |||
| 5.7% | 17.45 | — | |||
| 3.5% | 28.17 | — | |||
| 4.6% | 21.79 | — | |||
| 10.7% | 9.35 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.2% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 66.5% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.63 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.81 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 20.7% | 4.83 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 36.8% | 2.72 | — | |||
| 31.5% | 3.18 | — |
Total goals
| 96.6% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 85.4% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 65.8% | 1.52 | — | |||
| 44.6% | 2.24 | — | |||
| 14.6% | 6.85 | — | |||
| 34.2% | 2.92 | — | |||
| 55.4% | 1.8 | — |
1st-half goals
| 81.0% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 50.1% | 2.0 | — |
Home team goals
| 89.6% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 66.0% | 1.51 | — |
Away team goals
| 67.9% | 1.47 | — | |||
| 31.4% | 3.18 | — |
Both to score
| 61.0% | 1.64 | — |
Corners
| 62.9% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 51.5% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 40.0% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 29.4% | 3.4 | — | |||
| 21.2% | 4.71 | — | |||
| 48.5% | 2.06 | — | |||
| 60.0% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 70.6% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 78.8% | 1.27 | — |
Home corners
| 78.9% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.4% | 1.53 | — | |||
| 51.1% | 1.96 | — |
Away corners
| 35.3% | 2.83 | — | |||
| 20.1% | 4.97 | — | |||
| 10.3% | 9.69 | — |
Cards
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 60.7% | 1.65 | — | |||
| 44.4% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 30.3% | 3.3 | — | |||
| 39.4% | 2.54 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 69.7% | 1.43 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds