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Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-18

Leverkusen – Freiburg

Home 63% 1.6 fair
Draw 20% 5.12 fair
Away 18% 5.6 fair
Expected Goals3.32
Most Likely Score2-1
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.564%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

1 version
Initial prediction
No changes recorded yet.
Total goals ⓘ expected 3.32
0
1
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7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 8.95 awaiting league sample
4
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9
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11
12
13
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18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.42 awaiting league sample
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9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

62.6% 1.6 —
19.6% 5.12 —
17.9% 5.6 —
82.1% 1.22 —
37.4% 2.67 —
80.5% 1.24 —

Half-time result

47.3% 2.11 —
33.4% 3.0 —
19.4% 5.17 —

Half-time double chance

80.6% 1.24 —
52.7% 1.9 —
66.6% 1.5 —

Both halves

23.9% 4.19 —

HT/FT

41.9% 2.38 —
4.3% 23.42 —
16.8% 5.94 —
10.7% 9.39 —
5.9% 17.04 —
3.8% 26.39 —
4.6% 21.55 —
10.9% 9.15 —

HT/FT double chance

73.7% 1.36 —
65.7% 1.52 —
21.9% 4.58 —
54.6% 1.83 —
57.8% 1.73 —
20.9% 4.78 —
35.9% 2.78 —
37.4% 2.67 —
32.1% 3.12 —

Total goals

96.2% 1.04 —
84.4% 1.18 —
63.9% 1.56 —
42.0% 2.38 —
15.6% 6.41 —
36.1% 2.77 —
58.0% 1.73 —

1st-half goals

79.9% 1.25 —
47.4% 2.11 —

Home team goals

89.0% 1.12 —
64.6% 1.55 —

Away team goals

67.0% 1.49 —
30.3% 3.3 —

Both to score

59.8% 1.67 —

Corners

63.3% 1.58 —
51.7% 1.93 —
40.6% 2.47 —
30.6% 3.27 —
21.9% 4.57 —
48.3% 2.07 —
59.5% 1.68 —
69.5% 1.44 —
78.1% 1.28 —

Home corners

79.7% 1.25 —
66.4% 1.51 —
51.9% 1.93 —

Away corners

34.4% 2.91 —
19.4% 5.14 —
10.2% 9.77 —

Cards

76.4% 1.31 —
60.2% 1.66 —
43.8% 2.29 —
30.1% 3.32 —
39.9% 2.51 —
56.2% 1.78 —
69.9% 1.43 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds