Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 16:30
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig
Home
71%
1.4 fair
Draw
15%
6.55 fair
Away
13%
7.53 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
2-1
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig
FINAL
Actual Result
6–1
Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig
Expected Goals4.12
Both teams to score67%
Over 2.578%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
74.4%
→
71.5%
-2.9 pp
Draw
13.9%
→
15.3%
+1.3 pp
Away
11.7%
→
13.3%
+1.6 pp
Over 2.5
78.1%
→
77.7%
-0.5 pp
Both teams to score
64.5%
→
66.9%
+2.4 pp
Expected Goals
4.14 →
4.12
-0.02
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
2-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 71.5% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 15.3% | 6.55 | — | |||
| 13.3% | 7.53 | — | |||
| 86.7% | 1.15 | — | |||
| 28.5% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 84.7% | 1.18 | — |
Half-time result
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 33.7% | 2.97 | — | |||
| 21.0% | 4.77 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 79.0% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 54.7% | 1.83 | — | |||
| 66.3% | 1.51 | — |
Both halves
| 30.7% | 3.26 | — |
HT/FT
| 41.7% | 2.4 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.46 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.77 | — | |||
| 4.0% | 24.81 | — | |||
| 7.3% | 13.7 | — | |||
| 5.3% | 18.83 | — | |||
| 8.3% | 11.98 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 74.1% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 69.1% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 14.9% | 6.72 | — | |||
| 57.0% | 1.75 | — | |||
| 58.3% | 1.72 | — | |||
| 17.2% | 5.8 | — | |||
| 42.3% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 24.9% | 4.01 | — |
Total goals
| 91.6% | 1.09 | — | |||
| 77.7% | 1.29 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 8.4% | 11.9 | — | |||
| 22.3% | 4.48 | — | |||
| 40.9% | 2.45 | — |
1st-half goals
| 80.3% | 1.25 | — | |||
| 48.6% | 2.06 | — |
Home team goals
| 94.3% | 1.06 | — | |||
| 78.5% | 1.27 | — |
Away team goals
| 70.9% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 34.6% | 2.89 | — |
Both to score
| 66.9% | 1.49 | — |
Corners
| 73.6% | 1.36 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 42.1% | 2.37 | — | |||
| 32.7% | 3.06 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 47.6% | 2.1 | — | |||
| 57.9% | 1.73 | — | |||
| 67.3% | 1.49 | — |
Home corners
| 86.4% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 75.8% | 1.32 | — | |||
| 63.3% | 1.58 | — |
Away corners
| 39.5% | 2.53 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 12.7% | 7.86 | — |
Cards
| 63.8% | 1.57 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — | |||
| 16.5% | 6.05 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 83.5% | 1.2 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds