Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 13:30
Schalke 04 – Mainz
Home
32%
3.16 fair
Draw
29%
3.47 fair
Away
40%
2.52 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Schalke 04 – Mainz
FINAL
Actual Result
0–1
Schalke 04 – Mainz
Expected Goals2.21
Both teams to score44%
Over 2.538%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
31.7%
→
31.6%
-0.1 pp
Draw
30.7%
→
28.8%
-1.9 pp
Away
37.6%
→
39.6%
+2.0 pp
Over 2.5
32.8%
→
37.8%
+5.0 pp
Both teams to score
40.7%
→
44.3%
+3.6 pp
Expected Goals
2.03 →
2.21
+0.18
Most Likely Score
0-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 31.6% | 3.16 | — | |||
| 28.8% | 3.47 | — | |||
| 39.6% | 2.52 | — | |||
| 60.4% | 1.66 | — | |||
| 68.4% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 71.2% | 1.4 | — |
Half-time result
| 25.7% | 3.89 | — | |||
| 45.6% | 2.19 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.49 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — | |||
| 74.3% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — |
Both halves
| 6.3% | 15.85 | — |
HT/FT
| 18.6% | 5.38 | — | |||
| 5.2% | 19.31 | — | |||
| 11.7% | 8.53 | — | |||
| 18.9% | 5.29 | — | |||
| 15.0% | 6.66 | — | |||
| 4.7% | 21.23 | — | |||
| 22.6% | 4.42 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 54.4% | 1.84 | — | |||
| 47.3% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 29.8% | 3.36 | — | |||
| 44.5% | 2.25 | — | |||
| 34.5% | 2.9 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
Total goals
| 89.4% | 1.12 | — | |||
| 65.0% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 18.1% | 5.52 | — | |||
| 35.0% | 2.86 | — | |||
| 62.2% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 81.9% | 1.22 | — |
1st-half goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 26.8% | 3.73 | — |
Home team goals
| 64.1% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 27.2% | 3.68 | — |
Away team goals
| 69.6% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.5% | 2.98 | — |
Both to score
| 44.3% | 2.26 | — |
Corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 59.9% | 1.67 | — | |||
| 48.4% | 2.07 | — | |||
| 37.8% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 40.1% | 2.5 | — | |||
| 51.6% | 1.94 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.61 | — | |||
| 71.4% | 1.4 | — |
Home corners
| 67.5% | 1.48 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 35.7% | 2.8 | — |
Away corners
| 66.8% | 1.5 | — | |||
| 50.7% | 1.97 | — | |||
| 35.9% | 2.78 | — |
Cards
| 78.0% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 46.5% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 32.2% | 3.11 | — | |||
| 37.7% | 2.65 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 67.8% | 1.47 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds