Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 13:30
Hamburg – Stuttgart
Home
23%
4.28 fair
Draw
22%
4.64 fair
Away
55%
1.82 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-2
Hamburg – Stuttgart
FINAL
Actual Result
1–0
Hamburg – Stuttgart
Expected Goals3.15
Both teams to score60%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
7 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
21.6%
→
23.4%
+1.8 pp
Draw
22.1%
→
21.6%
-0.6 pp
Away
56.3%
→
55.1%
-1.3 pp
Over 2.5
60.2%
→
61.4%
+1.3 pp
Both teams to score
59.3%
→
59.7%
+0.4 pp
Expected Goals
3.11 →
3.15
+0.04
Most Likely Score
1-1
→
1-2
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 23.4% | 4.28 | — | |||
| 21.6% | 4.64 | — | |||
| 55.1% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 44.9% | 2.23 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — | |||
| 78.4% | 1.27 | — |
Half-time result
| 19.4% | 5.15 | — | |||
| 38.1% | 2.62 | — | |||
| 42.5% | 2.35 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 57.5% | 1.74 | — | |||
| 80.6% | 1.24 | — | |||
| 61.9% | 1.62 | — |
Both halves
| 4.7% | 21.41 | — |
HT/FT
| 12.0% | 8.33 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.83 | — | |||
| 3.0% | 33.11 | — | |||
| 9.4% | 10.58 | — | |||
| 12.1% | 8.28 | — | |||
| 16.6% | 6.03 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.61 | — | |||
| 35.4% | 2.82 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 37.9% | 2.64 | — | |||
| 41.1% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 36.1% | 2.77 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 52.4% | 1.91 | — | |||
| 48.0% | 2.09 | — | |||
| 28.6% | 3.5 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 69.2% | 1.44 | — |
Total goals
| 95.6% | 1.05 | — | |||
| 82.2% | 1.22 | — | |||
| 61.4% | 1.63 | — | |||
| 38.7% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 17.8% | 5.63 | — | |||
| 38.6% | 2.59 | — | |||
| 61.3% | 1.63 | — |
1st-half goals
| 73.8% | 1.35 | — | |||
| 38.9% | 2.57 | — |
Home team goals
| 69.7% | 1.44 | — | |||
| 33.8% | 2.96 | — |
Away team goals
| 85.6% | 1.17 | — | |||
| 58.2% | 1.72 | — |
Both to score
| 59.7% | 1.68 | — |
Corners
| 69.8% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 59.0% | 1.7 | — | |||
| 47.5% | 2.11 | — | |||
| 37.2% | 2.69 | — | |||
| 27.7% | 3.61 | — | |||
| 41.0% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 52.5% | 1.9 | — | |||
| 62.8% | 1.59 | — | |||
| 72.3% | 1.38 | — |
Home corners
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 29.3% | 3.42 | — |
Away corners
| 71.1% | 1.41 | — | |||
| 55.6% | 1.8 | — | |||
| 40.7% | 2.46 | — |
Cards
| 82.4% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 68.3% | 1.46 | — | |||
| 52.9% | 1.89 | — | |||
| 38.5% | 2.6 | — | |||
| 31.7% | 3.15 | — | |||
| 47.1% | 2.12 | — | |||
| 61.5% | 1.63 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds