Fixtures / Bundesliga / 2026-10-17 13:30
Elversberg – Augsburg
Home
56%
1.77 fair
Draw
22%
4.6 fair
Away
22%
4.57 fair
PRE-MATCH
Most Likely Score
1-1
Elversberg – Augsburg
FINAL
Actual Result
4–3
Elversberg – Augsburg
Expected Goals3.15
Both teams to score59%
Over 2.561%
No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ
Prediction history
8 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home
68.3%
→
56.4%
-12.0 pp
Draw
16.6%
→
21.8%
+5.2 pp
Away
15.1%
→
21.9%
+6.8 pp
Over 2.5
74.0%
→
60.9%
-13.1 pp
Both teams to score
65.3%
→
59.3%
-6.1 pp
Expected Goals
3.86 →
3.15
-0.71
Most Likely Score
2-1
→
1-1
Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.
Every market, one number
Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.
Result
| 56.4% | 1.77 | — | |||
| 21.8% | 4.6 | — | |||
| 21.9% | 4.57 | — | |||
| 78.1% | 1.28 | — | |||
| 43.6% | 2.29 | — | |||
| 78.2% | 1.28 | — |
Half-time result
| 40.9% | 2.44 | — | |||
| 40.4% | 2.47 | — | |||
| 18.6% | 5.37 | — |
Half-time double chance
| 81.4% | 1.23 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — | |||
| 59.6% | 1.68 | — |
Both halves
| 19.3% | 5.19 | — |
HT/FT
| 33.9% | 2.95 | — | |||
| 5.1% | 19.42 | — | |||
| 19.2% | 5.2 | — | |||
| 12.2% | 8.21 | — | |||
| 9.0% | 11.09 | — | |||
| 3.2% | 30.77 | — | |||
| 4.4% | 22.52 | — | |||
| 10.9% | 9.14 | — |
HT/FT double chance
| 70.4% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 64.0% | 1.56 | — | |||
| 28.3% | 3.54 | — | |||
| 46.7% | 2.14 | — | |||
| 50.0% | 2.0 | — | |||
| 22.4% | 4.45 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 42.4% | 2.36 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — |
Total goals
| 95.8% | 1.04 | — | |||
| 82.5% | 1.21 | — | |||
| 60.9% | 1.64 | — | |||
| 38.3% | 2.61 | — | |||
| 17.5% | 5.72 | — | |||
| 39.1% | 2.56 | — | |||
| 61.7% | 1.62 | — |
1st-half goals
| 70.0% | 1.43 | — | |||
| 34.1% | 2.93 | — |
Home team goals
| 86.3% | 1.16 | — | |||
| 59.1% | 1.69 | — |
Away team goals
| 68.8% | 1.45 | — | |||
| 32.4% | 3.09 | — |
Both to score
| 59.3% | 1.69 | — |
Corners
| 76.8% | 1.3 | — | |||
| 67.0% | 1.49 | — | |||
| 56.1% | 1.78 | — | |||
| 45.1% | 2.22 | — | |||
| 35.1% | 2.85 | — | |||
| 33.0% | 3.03 | — | |||
| 43.9% | 2.28 | — | |||
| 54.9% | 1.82 | — | |||
| 64.9% | 1.54 | — |
Home corners
| 78.7% | 1.27 | — | |||
| 65.1% | 1.54 | — | |||
| 50.8% | 1.97 | — |
Away corners
| 62.3% | 1.6 | — | |||
| 45.3% | 2.21 | — | |||
| 30.6% | 3.27 | — |
Cards
| 70.5% | 1.42 | — | |||
| 53.4% | 1.87 | — | |||
| 36.6% | 2.73 | — | |||
| 23.4% | 4.27 | — | |||
| 46.6% | 2.15 | — | |||
| 63.4% | 1.58 | — | |||
| 76.6% | 1.31 | — |
model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds