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Fixtures / League One / 2026-10-10 11:30

Notts County – Oxford

Home 29% 3.48 fair
Draw 26% 3.83 fair
Away 45% 2.21 fair
PRE-MATCH Most Likely Score 1-1 Notts County – Oxford
FINAL Actual Result 1–2 Notts County – Oxford
Expected Goals2.57
Both teams to score51%
Over 2.548%

No market odds available — goals from model only ⓘ

Prediction history

6 versions
Initial prediction
Latest prediction
Home 28.3% → 28.7% +0.4 pp
Draw 27.0% → 26.1% -0.9 pp
Away 44.8% → 45.2% +0.4 pp
Over 2.5 47.3% → 47.5% +0.2 pp
Both teams to score 52.2% → 51.4% -0.8 pp
Expected Goals 2.58 → 2.57 -0.01
Most Likely Score 1-1 → 1-1
Total goals ⓘ expected 2.57
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7+
Total corners ⓘ expected 10.25 awaiting league sample
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18+
Total cards (red = 2) ⓘ expected 4.5 awaiting league sample
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10+

Bars show the probability of each exact total. The last bar is “or more”.

Every market, one number

Fair odds = 1 / probability, before any bookmaker margin. Compare with your bookmaker: if their price is higher than fair, that leg has value.

Result

28.7% 3.48 —
26.1% 3.83 —
45.2% 2.21 —
54.8% 1.82 —
71.3% 1.4 —
73.9% 1.35 —

Half-time result

16.3% 6.14 —
51.8% 1.93 —
31.9% 3.14 —

Half-time double chance

68.1% 1.47 —
83.7% 1.19 —
48.2% 2.08 —

Both halves

4.8% 20.79 —

HT/FT

10.9% 9.17 —
3.5% 28.99 —
15.3% 6.54 —
17.1% 5.85 —
19.4% 5.15 —
5.6% 17.95 —
23.8% 4.2 —

HT/FT double chance

46.8% 2.14 —
47.6% 2.1 —
41.9% 2.39 —
22.4% 4.46 —
39.1% 2.55 —
34.8% 2.88 —
40.5% 2.47 —
61.1% 1.64 —
65.9% 1.52 —

Total goals

92.4% 1.08 —
72.7% 1.38 —
47.5% 2.1 —
25.9% 3.85 —
27.3% 3.67 —
52.5% 1.91 —
74.1% 1.35 —

1st-half goals

54.9% 1.82 —
18.9% 5.3 —

Home team goals

66.8% 1.5 —
30.8% 3.25 —

Away team goals

77.0% 1.3 —
43.0% 2.32 —

Both to score

51.4% 1.95 —

Corners

74.6% 1.34 —
64.9% 1.54 —
54.7% 1.83 —
44.3% 2.26 —
34.5% 2.9 —
35.1% 2.85 —
45.3% 2.21 —
55.7% 1.8 —
65.5% 1.53 —

Home corners

74.5% 1.34 —
60.7% 1.65 —
46.2% 2.16 —

Away corners

63.3% 1.58 —
47.5% 2.1 —
33.4% 3.0 —

Cards

78.6% 1.27 —
62.1% 1.61 —
45.4% 2.2 —
30.8% 3.24 —
37.9% 2.64 —
54.6% 1.83 —
69.2% 1.45 —

model · fair ⓘ · market (no margin) ⓘ · bookmaker · Your bookmaker's odds